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Situational assessment of extremist trends

This Center for the Study of Democracy report provides a methodological framework for the establishment of a viable mechanism for monitoring and assessment of the state and developments over time in extremist acts and actors on the national level.

Analysis of the Prison Strikes in France: Understanding Violent Escalations beyond Radicalisation

The European policies adopted by several EU Member States after 9/11 focus mainly on perpetrators and their profiles to prevent phenomena of terrorism and radicalisation. Unfortunately, they consider only one aspect of the multiple fronts, namely the inmates and suspicious radicals with their narratives. Mainstreaming strategies are based upon old-fashioned concepts of the preventive armamentarium

On the identification of suspicious users on social networks

The use of IT technology for the planning and implementation of illegal activities has been gaining ground in recent years. Nowadays, through the web and the social media, it is possible not only to divulge advertising for the disclosure of illicit activities, but also to take action that in the past needed to have people

Cybercrime and Organized Crime

Cybercrime is now far away of hackers fighting with computer systems just for fun or to teas administrators. The growth of the digital economy completely changed the criminal scene where access to assets stored in the computer’s systems becomes a objective of the crime. Possibility of high profit combined with practically very low risks made

The impact of incentives, and the value of gentle rule enforcement

Recent research demonstrates that human reactions to incentives are highly sensitive to the probability of regret.  Quick learning toward rational behaviour was found only when the option that maximizes expected return also minimizes the probability of regret.  This observation implies that a gentle rule enforcement system that ensures a high probability of enforcement is often

The description-experience gap, and the impact of rare terrorist attacks

People exhibit overweighting to rare events in many settings.  For example, tourists behaviour typically exhibit high sensitivity to the possibility of rare terrorist attacks.  Yet in other settings, people behave as if they believe that „it won’t happen to me.“  A common example is texting while driving.  Recent research suggests that this pattern is a