Environment tackled

Description

"This method is useful for eliciting ideas, judgments, or forecasts from a group of experts who may be geographically dispersed. The principal objective of the method is to forecast the plausible evolution of a complex phenomenon by exploiting the specialized knowledge and intuition of a group of experts, through developing a technique which facilitates the attainment of the most reliable consensus among experts. "

Referring PASTEL cluster

Potentially all Pastel Cluster

Objectives

method for eliciting ideas, judgments, or forecasts from a group of experts who may be geographically dispersed. The principal objective of the method is to forecast the plausible evolution of a complex phenomenon by exploiting the specialized knowledge and intuition of a group of experts, through developing a technique which facilitates the attainment of the most reliable consensus among experts.

Target Groups

Experts

End Users

Criminal justice system, Local Institutions, Professional educators, Researchers

Key findings

The Delphi Analysis consists of two or more round of questions to investigate a specific phenomenon among experts and find a consensus among them. After the first round of questions, the answers provided are analysed, re-elaborated and they become the basis of a second-round of questions. This second step usually investigates further issues that have been raised during the first round, attempts to explore better some topics or moves to a related problem. Finally, if some topics requires further attention, a third round of questions based on the analysis of the secondary results is submitted. It is useful to explore the perspectives of various experts of a given phenomenon and facilitate communication among them, the anonimity between panellists encourage creativity and honesty. However, the high level of commitment required to panelists influence the drop-out level.

referring project

PARTICIPATION